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Former presidents push for public say on ending Iran war

Maryam Sinaiee
Maryam Sinaiee

Iran International

Sep 9, 2026, 16:44 GMT+1
Iran's former presidents Mohammad Khatami and Hassan Rouhani. File photo.
Iran's former presidents Mohammad Khatami and Hassan Rouhani. File photo.

Calls by former presidents Hassan Rouhani and Mohammad Khatami to end Iran’s war with the United States have triggered a fiercer political confrontation after they invoked public opinion in support of diplomacy rather than continued fighting.

Both men have called for an “honourable” end to the war, but Rouhani has gone further, arguing that public opinion should be taken into account in deciding whether Iran continues down the path of confrontation.

“Tell them that our plan is to fight the great powers of the world for another 20 years,” Rouhani said at a recent meeting with former officials. “If the people say they accept this, very well, let us continue. But if the people do not accept it and show us another way, do we not want to accept it?”

The argument has provoked a sharp backlash from hardliners, who say questions of war and national defence cannot be reduced to public opinion while the country remains under attack.

Hossein Shariatmadari, editor of the hardline Kayhan newspaper, accused Rouhani and Khatami on Tuesday of distorting reality, saying their calls amounted to “dishonourable and humiliating surrender” and would deliver the United States and Israel what they had failed to achieve through two wars.

The dispute comes amid renewed military escalation, with the United States and Iran again exchanging attacks after a relative lull and diplomatic efforts failing to produce a lasting settlement.

President Masoud Pezeshkian has nevertheless repeatedly argued that Iran should end the conflict while it remains in a position of “power and dignity,” pointing to inflation, sanctions and a sharp decline in foreign trade as reasons to reach a diplomatic understanding rather than prolong the confrontation.

But Rouhani’s appeal to public opinion has taken the debate into more contested political and constitutional territory.

“We must, according to the overwhelming majority of the people, end the war with dignity so that we can build the country …so that we can have hope for the future,” he said.

Rouhani did not explicitly call for a referendum, but his remarks revived one of the most sensitive arguments in Iranian politics: whether major questions of national policy should be put directly to voters.

Article 59 of Iran’s constitution allows the exercise of legislative power on major economic, political, social and cultural issues through a referendum and direct consultation of voters.

No referendum under the provision, however, has ever been held.

Former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei rejected calls for referendums to resolve major national disputes in 2023, arguing that ordinary people were not equipped to analyse complex political, economic and international questions.

That divide is now being reframed around the war.

Tabnak, a website close to Supreme National Security Council secretary Mohsen Rezaei, rejected Rouhani’s argument by recasting the choice itself.

“If a referendum is to be held, the question must be precise and honest: ‘Are the people in favour of defending the country against foreign attack?’ or ‘Do you allow the country to surrender?’” it wrote.

“The difference between these two questions is the difference between political analysis and playing with words.”

Tasnim, a news agency linked to the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), similarly attacked Rouhani as a symbol of a political current that had “simplified complex issues such as negotiations, peace and war.”

It accused the group of “naivety and wishful thinking,” arguing that they believed “a few legal clauses and two signatures” could resolve decades of tensions between Iran and the United States.

Kayhan argued that proposing a referendum during wartime would weaken Iran’s position and that turning the defence of territorial integrity into a factional issue amounted to shirking national duty and assisting the enemy’s pressure campaign.

The attacks have extended beyond the media. At a nightly gathering in a public square, one speaker said that with the Supreme Leader and the Supreme National Security Council in place, Rouhani had no right to take a position on the issue.

Hardline cleric and eulogist Mehdi Salahshour said on X that asking the public whether the war should continue or stop would “only destroy national resolve and sow seeds of doubt in the hearts of fighters on the battlefield and in the streets.”

The response has not been uniformly hostile.

Conservative news website Khabar Online noted that, with the exception of former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who has been largely silent in recent years, Iran’s other living former presidents had chosen to intervene at a critical moment.

“These days Khatami speaks of ‘honourable peace’ and Rouhani of a ‘dignified end’,” it wrote.

Moderate website Rouydad24 contrasted their interventions with what it described as the relative silence of reformists serving inside Pezeshkian’s government, arguing that Rouhani was articulating a position many Iranians had expected to hear from their representatives in government.

Mohammad Ali Sobhani, a former Iranian ambassador to Qatar, Jordan and Lebanon, also backed Khatami’s position, arguing that Iran could not leave the conflict suspended indefinitely.

“We must change the situation, bring the playing field towards dialogue and compromise so that the world supports us and we can impose peace on the other side,” he told Khabar Online.

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War conditions curb mandatory hijab crackdown, Iranian official says

Sep 9, 2026, 14:01 GMT+1
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Young Iranian women are seen in a shopping center without mandatory hijab.

Iranian authorities are holding back from enforcing mandatory hijab as extensively as they would like because of “war conditions,” a senior official said Wednesday, even as pressure grows for tougher enforcement.

“Look at how the enemy has managed to promote that decadent Western lifestyle in our society. Look at the hijab issue itself. Because of the war conditions, for now we cannot enter this front the way we should,” Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, a member of Iran’s Expediency Council, and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s father-in-law said at a gathering of student associations.

The effects would be visible in schools, making the authorities’ task “much harder than in 1981, when we started working,” Haddad-Adel added.

His comments came a day after an official representing supreme leader in Iranian universities announced that mandatory hijab instructions for universities had been drafted and would soon be issued by the ministries of science and health.

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Women without mandatory hijab are seen at an outdoor market in Iran.

Universities prepare hijab rules

Existing hijab regulations were already sufficient but needed renewed attention, Saeed Karami, the cultural and political deputy of leader’s representative body in universities, told Mehr news agency Tuesday.

“We certainly will not see the bitter occurrences in universities that we sometimes see on the streets,” Karami said.

The new rules should be described as “instructions” rather than a “hijab charter,” Karami added.

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Women without mandatory hijab are seen at a shopping center in Iran.

Lawmaker Mohammad-Taghi Naghdali also criticized the government Tuesday for what he called a “retreat” on hijab and for failing to promulgate legislation known as the Chastity and Hijab Law.

Parliament would continue pursuing the issue, Naghdali added.

The comments are part of a renewed push by officials for greater enforcement after years of disobedience by women against compulsory veiling.

Officials press for tougher enforcement

The secretary of Iran’s Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution said Wednesday that mandatory dress rules were not being observed in some government offices and pharmacies.

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Women without mandatory hijab walk along a street in Iran.

“In some government offices, hijab is not observed, and in some pharmacies things have gone beyond not wearing hijab,” Abdolhossein Khosropanah said at a meeting of university faculty members in Hamedan.

Government agencies and public-service institutions, including offices and facilities such as pharmacies overseen by ministries, were required to monitor compliance with regulations, Khosropanah added.

The Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution had adopted “comprehensive and sufficient” measures on hijab over the past two decades, meaning new measures were unnecessary, he said.

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A woman without mandatory hijab walks along a street in Iran.

Other officials have made similar calls in recent weeks.

Hossein Akbari, the Revolutionary Guards commander in North Khorasan province, announced Saturday that groups tasked with verbally warning people about their dress would be revived and reorganized to promote mandatory hijab.

Lawmaker Mostafa Moeini Arani has called for action against women deemed improperly veiled and urged parliament speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf to promulgate the hijab law.

Kayhan, a newspaper overseen by a representative of Khamenei, has also urged the government to address what it described as a failure to enforce hijab requirements.

Government supporters have staged demonstrations in several cities. They formed a human chain in Qom on August 29 demanding enforcement, while Friday prayer attendees demonstrated outside the South Khorasan governor’s office in Birjand a day earlier.

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Young Iranians attend a social gathering without mandatory hijab in Iran.

A video sent to Iran International showed a group of women supporting the government demonstrating in Isfahan on August 24 and chanting for the hijab law to be implemented.

Women continue to defy mandatory hijab

Women have continued to appear without mandatory hijab in public despite pressure from authorities, extending a form of civil disobedience that expanded after the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom protests.

Citizens have sent Iran International videos and messages criticizing renewed enforcement efforts at a time of rising prices and economic hardship.

They have described mandatory-hijab advertisements in Mashhad, confrontations with women in the streets, warnings issued to shops and cafes and the closure of dozens of businesses in cities across the country.

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Women without mandatory hijab walk along a street in Iran.

CNN reported in August that authorities had increased pressure on women over mandatory hijab but were avoiding widespread direct street enforcement because of concern that it could trigger another wave of protests.

Authorities were instead relying on legal measures, business closures and economic pressure while women continued their civil disobedience, CNN reported.

Haddad-Adel’s reference to “war conditions” comes as the Islamic Republic faces continuing military conflict alongside a worsening economic crisis and growing pressure on household finances.

The doubling of Iran’s highest petrol price tier has also increased official concern about public discontent and possible protests.

Iran deploys security forces as gasoline price rise takes effect

Sep 8, 2026, 13:31 GMT+1
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Saba Heidarkhani, Baharan Azadi
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A mounted machine gun deployed in Khorramabad, western Iran, on Monday, September 7, ahead of a fuel price increase.

Iranian security forces deployed around fuel stations and on streets across the country as a gasoline price increase took effect, with people warning of further pressure on household budgets and rising prices for other goods and services.

Messages, videos and accounts sent to Iran International described deployments of police, special units and Basij forces in Tehran, Mashhad, Shiraz, Karaj, Isfahan, Tabriz, Birjand, Khorramabad, Khomein, Abadan and Qeshm.

Reports of slower internet connections also emerged from several cities, including Tabriz and Babol.

Petrol prices doubled on Monday for drivers buying fuel outside their monthly subsidised quota, rising from 50,000 to 100,000 rials a litre, about 2.3 to 4.5 US cents. The government announced the increase two days earlier.

Monthly subsidized allocations remain unchanged. Motorists can buy 60 liters at 15,000 rials per liter, about 0.7 cents, and another 50 liters at 30,000 rials, about 1.3 cents.

  • Fear of unrest complicates Iran’s gasoline dilemma

    Fear of unrest complicates Iran’s gasoline dilemma

The dollar figures are negligible. The wages are the point. Average monthly pay in Iran is around 250 million rials, about $113 at Tuesday's rate, and many workers earn closer to 200 million, or roughly $90 a month.

Security forces gather around fuel stations

Several residents of Mashhad told Iran International that security forces appeared around petrol stations on Sunday, hours before the new price took effect.

“On Monday evening, I passed three gas stations. Several police vehicles were stationed outside each one, and at one station there were large numbers of Basij motorcyclists and special unit forces,” one resident said.

Another Mashhad resident described police and special units positioned at fuel stations across the city.

Video sent to Iran International from Khorramabad in western Lorestan province showed security personnel, vehicles and motorcycles deployed around the city, including what appeared to be a mounted machine gun.

Fuel supplies had already faced disruptions over the previous three weeks in areas including Razavi Khorasan, South Khorasan, Tehran and Alborz provinces.

Citizens in early September reported station closures, long lines, restrictions on purchases and waits of about two hours to obtain 10 liters of gasoline.

A Birjand resident said some filling stations had closed and displayed notices blaming “technical problems,” while police were positioned at others.

Similar deployments were described in Shiraz, where a local reported a large security presence around Maali-Abad early Tuesday, and in Karaj, particularly Fardis, Gohardasht and Mehrshahr.

A resident of Khomein in Markazi province also described a long line and numerous police officers at a fuel station on Shohadaye Daneshjoo Street.

Special units deploy in Tehran

Several Tehran residents reported increased security deployments from Monday evening, including in Shahr-e Rey and Salsabil neighborhoods.

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“The station was heavily secured. Special units and the Basij were constantly moving around, and the streets were crowded,” a resident who visited a fuel station near Ferdowsi Square in central Tehran around midnight said.

Another who went to a station on Pirouzi Street in the east described long vehicle lines with special units positioned nearby.

People in Isfahan and Abadan also reported armed police at filling stations. In Qeshm, a resident said armed personnel were deployed around major squares on Monday evening and that a confrontation occurred at the entrance to a filling station in Dargahan.

Two messages from Tabriz described a large security presence alongside deteriorating internet service.

“The city of Tabriz is full of special units. The forces are armed, and heavy equipment can also be seen,” one said.

A Babol citizen also reported slower mobile and fixed internet connections, though the reason for the disruption could not be established.

Gasoline prices carry particular political sensitivity in Iran. A sudden increase and rationing in November 2019 triggered demonstrations across dozens of cities that quickly expanded into nationwide anti-government protests.

Security forces killed around 1,500 people during the crackdown, according to a Reuters tally at the time. Thousands were arrested and authorities imposed a nationwide internet shutdown.

Government defends higher gasoline price

First Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref defended the new rate, arguing that even 100,000 rials per liter remains far below the government's cost of importing gasoline.

Imported gasoline costs the government more than 700,000 rials per liter, equivalent to about 30 cents, Aref said. Imported fuel would gradually be sold at prices closer to its cost, he added.

The government's figures for what petrol costs to produce have not held up well to examination. In November 2025, after officials put the cost at 340,000 rials a litre, about 15 cents at current rates, Iran International went through the refineries' own financial statements. They showed operating costs, excluding the value of the crude going in, of around 35,000 rials a litre, roughly 1.6 cents, a tenth of the official figure.

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A general view of a gas station in Iran

Economist Mousa Ghaninejad has estimated actual gasoline consumption inside Iran at about 70 million liters a day and argued that much of the remainder recorded as consumption is smuggled out of the country.

Iranians warn of knock-on price increases

Thousands of people responding to an Iran International question about the fuel increase focused on its potential impact beyond filling stations, warning that transportation costs could push up food prices, fares and other everyday expenses.

“100,000 rials for a liter of gasoline may just be a number for some people, but for people it means another step toward making life harder,” one respondent wrote.

Another said petrol was not the problem on its own, and pointed to food. A five-liter container of cooking oil that used to cost 22 million rials, about $9.90, now sells for 40 million, roughly $18.

On a monthly wage of 200 million rials, that is a fifth of a month's pay for one container of oil.

“We buy everything at expensive dollar-linked prices, but our base salary is only $100. Where in the world can you see something like this?” one person wrote.

  • Iran doubles gasoline price amid fears of renewed unrest

    Iran doubles gasoline price amid fears of renewed unrest

Another said wages would have to rise alongside prices, since households could not absorb repeated increases on incomes that had barely moved.

For younger respondents the loss was smaller and more particular. "The feeling of going on a trip is gone. Going out for a 10-minute drive is gone. We young people said goodbye to small pleasures a long time ago," one wrote.

Iran doubles gasoline price amid fears of renewed unrest

Sep 7, 2026, 00:10 GMT+1
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File Photo: Drivers fill up their cars at a gas station in Tehran, Iran

Iran will double the price of gasoline bought outside subsidized quotas from Tuesday, pushing ahead with a politically sensitive increase as households struggle with rising prices and the country faces fuel shortages.

Government spokesperson Fatemeh Mohajerani said Sunday that the third-tier gasoline price would rise to 10,000 tomans per liter from 5,000 tomans, effective September 8.

Monthly subsidized allocations will remain unchanged, with motorists entitled to 60 liters at 1,500 tomans per liter and a further 50 liters at 3,000 tomans.

Mohajerani blamed current conditions and past policies for rising consumption, saying the increase was intended to maintain the balance between supply and demand and strengthen “national resilience.”

The decision comes as Iranian households contend with high inflation, a sharply weakened currency and rising costs for basic goods.

President Masoud Pezeshkian had signaled the increase in late August but gave no date for its implementation. Since then, Iranians have expressed concern that higher gasoline prices could feed through into transport costs and the prices of other goods.

Shortages add to pressure

The price rise comes amid growing strains on Iran’s gasoline supply.

Esmail Saqqab Esfahani, head of Iran’s Energy Optimization Organization, said last month that the country faced a daily gasoline deficit of around 14 million to 15 million liters.

The gap between consumption and production predates the war, but fighting and the US blockade have added to the strain, disrupting supplies when domestic production was already failing to keep pace with demand.

Mohajerani said all additional revenue generated by the increase would be spent on supporting household livelihoods, without specifying how the money would be distributed.

Hossein Samsami, a member of parliament’s Economic Commission, warned last month that raising gasoline prices under current conditions could be like a “spark in a powder keg.”

Memories of 2019

Gasoline prices are among the most politically sensitive economic issues in Iran.

A sudden increase in November 2019 triggered nationwide protests that quickly expanded into broader anti-government unrest.

Authorities imposed a near-total internet blackout and security forces carried out a deadly crackdown in which at least 1,500 people were killed, according to a Reuters investigation.

Iranian officials have shown concern that renewed economic grievances could again spill into the streets. Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said last month that Iran’s enemies could seek to exploit public dissatisfaction over gasoline.

The increase leaves the government trying to curb a widening gap between gasoline consumption and domestic supply without adding to public anger over the cost of living.

Alamolhoda seeking presidency of Iran’s Assembly of Experts - report

Sep 5, 2026, 14:39 GMT+1
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Ahmad Alamolhoda

Senior hardline cleric Ahmad Alamolhoda is seeking support to become president of Iran’s Assembly of Experts, an 88-member clerical body responsible for selecting and overseeing the supreme leader, a Tehran-based outlet reported citing informed sources.

Entekhab reported that maneuvering over the assembly’s leadership has intensified ahead of its next session because of concerns about the health of its current president, Mohammad-Ali Movahedi-Kermani.

Alamolhoda, who represents Razavi Khorasan province in the assembly and serves as Friday prayer leader in Mashhad, is seeking to secure enough votes to take the presidency, according to the report.

His main rival is said to be Alireza Arafi, the assembly’s second deputy president, a member of the Guardian Council and head of Iran’s Islamic seminaries.

Another potential contender is Mahmoud Rajabi, who succeeded Mohammad-Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi at the Imam Khomeini Educational and Research Institute. Entekhab quoted an informed source as saying that Rajabi believes he has a stronger chance of securing the post.

Alamolhoda is one of the Islamic Republic’s most prominent hardline clerics and has for years used his influential Friday prayer platform in Mashhad to advocate some of the establishment’s most uncompromising positions on social and political issues.

He is also the father-in-law of late President Ebrahim Raisi, who died in a helicopter crash in May 2024.

Alamolhoda’s positions have included fierce opposition to challenges to compulsory hijab. In 2024, he likened defiance of the Islamic dress code to collaboration with Iran’s enemies, and the previous year suggested that religious hardliners might need to intervene themselves as women increasingly rejected mandatory hijab.

The European Union sanctioned Alamolhoda in March 2023 over serious human rights violations linked to the suppression of protests. The EU cited speeches in which it said he propagated hostility toward women, protesters and religious minorities.

Alamolhoda has remained an outspoken supporter of the Islamic Republic’s leadership following the death of Ali Khamenei.

In June, he said no agreement or commitment by Iran would be acceptable without Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s approval and described hostility toward the United States as a fundamental principle of the Islamic Republic.

The contest would put Alamolhoda at the head of a body that played a central role in the succession earlier this year. The Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei following his father’s death, although Iran International reported divisions among members over the process and the choice of the former supreme leader’s son.

The assembly normally elects its leadership for two-year terms. Movahedi-Kermani was elected president in May 2024 with 55 votes, succeeding Ahmad Jannati, while Hashem Hosseini-Bushehri and Arafi serve as first and second deputies respectively.

What is Pickaxe Mountain, and why does Trump keep saying he will bomb it?

Sep 5, 2026, 12:23 GMT+1
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یک تصویر ماهواره‌ای از سایت کلنگ گزلا

Donald Trump said again on Friday that the United States may soon strike Pickaxe Mountain, the underground complex near Natanz that is the last significant site linked to Iran's nuclear program still untouched after two wars.

What is it?

A mountain in the Zagros range in Isfahan province, about 1.5 kilometers south of the Natanz enrichment complex, with a large facility dug into it.

The name is a small accident of translation. The mountain is called Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La, and kolang means pickaxe, so foreign analysts began calling the site Pickaxe Mountain. It is not what Iranians call the facility, and Iran has never given it a public name at all.

Why was it built there?

Because of the rock. Most of the surrounding range is sedimentary, but this mountain is hard, dense granite, which gives anything tunneled beneath it substantial natural protection.

Construction began in the autumn of 2020, months after an explosion destroyed an above-ground advanced centrifuge assembly plant at Natanz in an attack widely attributed to Israel. Iran said at the time that the underground halls would replace it.

The destroyed plant had been built to assemble roughly 6,000 advanced centrifuges a year, a capacity sized for the tens of thousands Iran expected to need as restrictions under the 2015 nuclear deal expired between 2025 and 2030.

What is inside?

Nobody outside Iran knows, which is the heart of the problem.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has never been given access. A double security perimeter, a fence and a wall with a patrol route, rings the entire mountain and joins Natanz's own perimeter. There are two pairs of tunnel entrances, one on the east side and one on the west. Analysts assume they lead to a single facility, but even that is not certain.

Iran has said the site is for producing and assembling advanced centrifuges. The Institute for Science and International Security, which has tracked the construction by satellite for years, judges the space beneath the mountain large enough to hold considerably more: not only an assembly plant but a working enrichment plant capable of producing weapons-grade uranium, and probably enough room for weaponization work such as casting uranium metal and shaping it into weapon components.

  • Why Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain has become Trump’s next target

    Why Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain has become Trump’s next target

  • Trump threat to hit Pickaxe renews calls in Iran for nuclear bomb, NPT exit

    Trump threat to hit Pickaxe renews calls in Iran for nuclear bomb, NPT exit

Two further claims circulate, neither verified. One is that part of Iran's stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, estimated by the IAEA at around 440 kilograms, has been moved there.

The other, from an Israeli intelligence assessment reported by the Wall Street Journal, is that thousands of centrifuges were moved into the mountain last autumn. Neither Israel nor the United States has published evidence.

The institute's reading of the imagery is that the facility is not yet operational, and that construction continues.

How deep is it?

At least 100 meters beneath the mountain, which stands 1,608 meters above sea level.

There is a detail in those measurements worth noticing. The eastern entrances sit about 145 meters below the ridge; the western entrances about 100 meters. That 50-metre difference between the two sets of doors suggests the facility may have more than one level.

Either way it is deeper than Fordow or Natanz, both of which the United States has bombed.

Could American bombs destroy it?

Not the mountain itself. The GBU-57, the largest conventional bunker-buster in the US arsenal, weighs about 13,000 kilograms and is reported to penetrate 18 meters of concrete or 61 meters of earth. Against 100 meters of granite, experts are skeptical.

But a buried facility still has to breathe, and that is where the vulnerability lies. Any working complex needs power, ventilation, heating and cooling, deliveries and people going in and out, and each of those connections surfaces somewhere.

There is a precedent for exactly this. Schematics have been published for two other Iranian tunnel sites built by the Amad nuclear weapons program, Fordow and Shahid Boroujerdi. Both showed ventilation shafts, and in both cases those shafts were directly targeted in air strikes, in June 2025 and March 2026 respectively, because they offered penetrating weapons a way further inside.

No schematics for Pickaxe Mountain have surfaced publicly, but a probable ventilation shaft near the eastern entrances was seen under construction in 2024, fed by a power line that runs above ground before disappearing underground.

The institute's assessment is that an attack would most likely aim at the power supply, the ventilation shafts and the open tunnel mouths, and it notes that as of imagery from July 9 the western pair of entrances remained open.

It also notes that hitting the hardened portals alone would probably deny Iran access only temporarily, adding the mountain to the list of sites that then have to be watched for attempts to dig back in.

Air defenses are not seen as an obstacle. Israel overcame them at Natanz in the opening hours of the June 2025 war.

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A June 30, 2026, Vantor Technologies image overview of Pickaxe Mountain. (The Institute for Science and International Security)

The other way in

There is a second possibility, and it has history behind it.

The institute judges that the site, as it now stands, would be more suitable for attack or sabotage by ground forces than from the air. Its model is the 2020 destruction of the Natanz assembly plant, which reportedly involved explosives brought into the building during its construction.

Pickaxe Mountain is still under construction.

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A June 30, 2026, Vantor Technologies image of Pickaxe Mountain showing potential locations for ventilation shafts. (The Institute for Science and International Security)

What does Iran say?

That there is nothing there to bomb. Foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said in July that "no nuclear activity is taking place" at the site and called the American threats "a fabricated pretext for aggression, destruction, and sabotage."

Others have been less restrained. Mehdi Mohammadi, an adviser to the parliament speaker, called Pickaxe Mountain "the most heavily fortified nuclear facility in the world" and said a strike would "turn the region into hell."

Iran's joint military command has warned that any attack on nuclear or sensitive sites would widen the war.

Every time Trump has threatened it

July 13. On the Hugh Hewitt show: "We have eyes on it and Pickaxe mountain is a possible target for a nice big fat shot right in the front door. We're watching Pickaxe Mountain very closely. We don't see any activity there." He ended the interview more bluntly: "We're going to take out Pickaxe Mountain. Tell the Iranians to be ready."

July 21. After the Israeli intelligence assessment surfaced: "The new site that they're talking about, they're trying to possibly reconstitute a site, we'll hit that site. Any site where they're even thinking about nuclear, we'll be hitting it very, very powerfully." He said the US would hit the area "pretty soon, and very heavily."

July 28. "I know exactly what's going on at Pickaxe. It's not a big problem. We took out their nuclear sites, and we'll have to take out Pickaxe if we don't make a deal."

September 4. Trump said the US may hit the site very soon, crediting the Space Force for the intelligence. "We know everybody that's moving at Pickaxe, we know everybody that's moving everywhere, all over Iran, and if anything goes bad, we hit them. We hit them hard." He called the conflict a "military conflict" rather than a war, and added: "It's small potatoes for us."

So why has it not been hit?

Across two wars, the only recorded strike at the site destroyed a single vehicle on a spoil pile, thought to have been connected to air defense.

One explanation is simply that it is hard to destroy and may not yet contain anything worth destroying.

Iran has spent the interval hardening it further: concrete poured over a western entrance extension, a reinforced structure added at another portal, rock and soil pushed up over an eastern one, and by late April both eastern entrances partially backfilled to block vehicles.

A separate, smaller tunnel complex inside the same perimeter, built in 2007, was sealed shortly after the June 2025 war. What is inside it is unknown.

The other explanation is that Washington wants the option of getting in rather than burying it. Rebeccah Heinrichs of the Hudson Institute has suggested the United States may be preserving the possibility of entering or securing the complex, which would mean a ground operation rather than an air strike. There is no public evidence that one is being planned.