US Warns ‘Limited’ Israeli-Lebanon Conflict Could Draw Iran - Report

‘‘The idea of Australia even discussing an extradition treaty with a regime which kills, rapes and arbitrarily detains political dissidents, artists and women and girls who don’t cover their hair is abhorrent and completely unacceptable,’’ Chandler told The Sydney Morning Herald on Thursday.

Chandler has been a leading advocate for Australia to designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization.

Iran has proposed an extradition agreement with Australia that would facilitate the return of rejected Iranian asylum seekers currently held in offshore detention.

Ahmad Sadeghi, Iran's ambassador to Australia, has repeatedly reiterated the proposal, asserting that there are “ways to address Australian concerns about Iranians being punished with the death penalty upon their return.”

Sadeghi himself has faced calls for expulsion from Australia by the head of the Australian Jewish Association (AJA) due to antisemitic remarks he made.

“[Prime Minister] Albanese’s government should expel the ambassador. There shouldn't be an embassy of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Australia at the moment,” AJA CEO Robert Gregory said in an interview with Iran International’s Alireza Mohebbi in May.

The call came after a series of tweets published by the Iranian official on X. Sadeghi stated in one of his tweets that humanity had no choice but to put "an end" to Israel, calling it "the most notorious killing machine in current world history."

The posts followed Hamas' surprise attack on Israel on October 7, in which thousands of gunmen killed around 1,200 Israelis and foreigners. It was the worst loss of life in a single day since the founding of Israel in 1948. A total of 240 people were taken hostage.

The prince, a prominent opposition leader, wrote on X: “This Biblical relationship is not merely a relic of the past. It can inspire a new era of lasting peace for our region, including Iranians, Israelis, and Arabs.”

In April of last year, Pahlavi, known for his vocal advocacy for improving Israeli-Iranian relations, undertook a journey to Israel to " deliver a message of friendship from the Iranian people.”

This gesture stood in stark contrast to the actions of the Islamic Republic of Iran, whose leadership has consistently exhibited a pattern of Holocaust denial, further exacerbated by the organization of conferences and the sponsorship of cartoon competitions trivializing one of the greatest mass killings of the 20th century.

Minister Chikli, reflecting on his meeting with Pahlavi, expressed his optimism that the prince's leadership will pave the way for “peace and prosperity in Iran and the Middle East and restore the historical alliance between Iran and Israel.”

The Israeli official also threaded a picture of their meeting to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's post on X using only a dot as the caption. This was a tribute to the recently arrested Iranian blogger who is allegedly accused by the clerical government's security of being an Israeli spy.

Iranian blogger Hossein Shanbehzadeh was arrested earlier this week, accused of being a "fugitive Mossad agent" who has insulted religious figures in the past. His family rejects the allegations.

Shanbehzadeh last month posted a sarcastic comment—a single dot—in response to a tweet by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. His remark received more likes than Khamenei's original post. In the wake of his arrest, many users expressed their outrage, linking the detention to his comment on Khamenei's post, which had gained substantial attention

In the context of the ongoing conflict in Gaza, while Iran’s authoritarian government repeatedly called for the destruction of Israel since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iranian activists and social media users assert that Hamas bears direct responsibility for the war and the resulting deaths of Palestinian civilians and children, whom it employs as 'human shields.'

These critics are part of a significant segment of the Iranian population that contends their nation has suffered under the oppressive regime of the Islamic Republic. This regime not only represses its citizens but also channels its resources to support and arm Hamas, further entangling Iranian funds in the conflict.

Netanyahu will speak to a joint session of the House of Representatives and the Senate, House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said in a statement.

"I am very moved to have the privilege of representing Israel before both Houses of Congress and to present the truth about our just war against those who seek to destroy us to the representatives of the American people and the entire world," Netanyahu said in the statement.

Netanyahu's visit comes amid tensions between him and U.S. President Joe Biden, who has supported Israel's campaign in Gaza but has recently been more critical of its tactics and withheld shipment of some bombs.

It was not immediately clear if Netanyahu would meet with Biden during his US visit.

Biden's support for Israel has emerged as a political liability for the president in the run-up to November's elections, with some Democrats and voters furious over the thousands of civilian deaths in Gaza.

Republicans have also criticized Biden for his position on the war, saying he is not doing enough to help Israel.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said in a separate statement that he had joined in making the invitation to Netanyahu.

"I have clear and profound disagreements with the prime minister, which I have voiced both privately and publicly and will continue to do so," Schumer said. "But because America’s relationship with Israel is ironclad and transcends one person or prime minister I joined the request for him to speak.”

The sources, who Iran International has not identified for their protection, are connected to a security apparatus in the Middle East.

They allege these individuals are not declaring their identity and are armed with weapons on the ship in European ports, specifically: Constanta (Romania) , Valencia (Spain) , Ravenna (Italy), and Antwerp (Belgium).

Sources said these armed IRGC forces may use this method as a means to spy and collect information in Europe - all while reportedly bypassing sanctions.

The European Union (EU) has imposed numerous sanctions against the Islamic Republic - including individuals with the IRGC, government officials and entities. This is in response to Iran's human rights abuses, nuclear proliferation activities and military support for Russia's war in Ukraine.

To date, 227 individuals and 42 entities have been sanctioned.

In May, the EU added new sanctions targeting persons and entities supplying, selling or involved in the transferring of Iran's missiles and drones in support of the Kremlin and for armed groups in the Middle-East and the Red Sea.

Defense and security analyst Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with the Washington Institute, said that onboard armed guards are usually not allowed in European ports, unless there is a reason, in which case they must identify themselves as per individual port regulations.

Iran International’s sources said the alleged IRGC men concealed themselves as ordinary seafarers to circumvent Iran’s sanctions to allegedly engage in nefarious activities. An action that violates International Maritime Organization (IMO) regulations, said Nadimi, who specializes in military affairs.

“They [armed guards] are needed only for the pirates…pirate infested waters,” said Nadimi.

“Many shipping corridors, shipping lanes or canals like the Suez Canal do not usually allow armed guards aboard commercial ships,” he added.

The IMO responded to Iran International’s investigation, stating in an email, that "Flag States set the level of security on board their ships and approve their ships’ security plans, including requirements for armed personnel. Port States will also set their own requirements for ships that want to dock in their ports."

Spain and Romania, for example, require a declaration and authorization of privately contracted armed security personnel (PCASP) and weapons in their ports. This can only be in areas deemed ‘high risk’, which according to their port regulations online is "an area as defined in the Best Management Practices for Protection against Somalia Based Piracy (MSC.1/Circ.1339) unless otherwise defined by the flag State."

With regards to Iran, the IMO said it does “not have specific information on the use of armed personnel on IRI flag ships.”

Maritime "Smuggling"

Sources said the IRGC is transporting Quds forces and weaponry from Iran to Syria by sea before entering European ports.

Iran’s alleged use of armed IRGC men and smuggling weaponry for its proxies is likely in response to Israeli attacks on air and land infrastructure in Syria and Lebanon, according to Jason Brodsky, the policy director of United Against Nuclear Iran.

In 2021, the port of Latakia was targeted by air strikes, but Israel did not claim to be behind it. Though it is not unusual for Israel not to take responsibility for operations in Syria.

“They [Iran] are adjusting the routes, the smuggling routes that they have used in the past from land to air and now to maritime smuggling. And that's because Israel has targeted a lot of the land and air corridors,” said Brodsky.

A recent report by the Telegraph, citing sources in Israel, alleged that Iran uses European ports to provide cover for shipments of weapons to Hezbollah.

The unnamed sources told the British outlet that Hezbollah has received missiles and bombs on ships that go on to dock in European ports like Belgium, Spain and Italy. Those weapons are reportedly used to attack Israel.

“It goes to Hezbollah. It goes to militias in Syria. It goes to, Palestinian militant groups, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad,” said Brodsky.

Brodsky said the IRGC is highly skilled at smuggling arms, oil, people, and goods for its “nefarious purposes worldwide.”

In 2022, the US Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned members of an international oil smuggling network that reportedly facilitated oil trades and generated revenue for Hezbollah and the IRCG-Qods Force.

Brodsky said the ships likely bypass customs with “payoffs” and attempts to make the cargo look “benign” embedding weapons, for example, in a ship meant for humanitarian cargo.

“These networks are predominantly for the Quds Force to ship illicit contraband and other kinds of products to avoid a paper trail and to try to legitimize the cargo that they're using,” said Brodsky.

Richard Goldberg, a Senior advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) said that Iran, especially since the October 7 massacre, is on a march to strengthen itself around the world and is on the offence.

Armed IRGC operatives on board these fleets is not surprising to Goldberg, but he said it is concerning.

“They [Europe] may know about them, they may not even be looking for them. But they certainly allow them to fundraise, to activate, to recruit and potentially, move in and out of their countries, at various ports. Because their names are not on list to be denied visas or entry.”

Goldberg said it’s further evidence for the European Union (EU) to enlist the IRGC a terrorist entity and push for greater alliances across the transatlantic.

“To build a transatlantic alliance to counter these malign activities that are a danger not just to European soil, but ultimately to North America as well,” he said.

While not providing extensive details, state media cited Esmail Khatib as saying that the warning was in response to 'misconduct' displayed by some candidates.

Iran’s Press Supervisory Board also issued a directive concerning the elections, warning that violators will be punished with 74 lashes. The instructions, published on Wednesday, specified that disseminating content aimed at “the boycott of the elections and the lowering of participation” and “organizing any form of unauthorized protest gathering, strike, or sit-in” constitutes a "crime.”

The warnings follow Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's speech on Monday in which he urged contenders to avoid slander and refrain from smearing each other. Conspicuous confrontations have already emerged among several of the 80 candidates who enrolled during the designated five-day registration period, with the election campaign officially starting June 12 until June 26.

The snap elections have been called following the sudden death of Ebrahim Raisi with First Vice President Mohammad Mokhber taking the helm as acting president on the orders of Khamenei.

On Sunday, Tasnim, a news outlet affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and reportedly a supporter of Mohammed Bagher Ghalibaf, the speaker of parliament, criticized Vahid Haghanian, a prominent figure in the office of the Supreme Leader, without explicitly naming him, asserting that he is not the Supreme Leader’s preferred candidate.

"Some individuals have registered for the presidential race despite lacking relevant experience and executive responsibility. More concerning, their campaign materials imply endorsement by the Supreme Leader's office, a tactic that is unethical and undermines the dignity of this esteemed institution," Tasnim wrote.

The next day, Haghanian responded that the news agency uses military funds for matters unrelated to the public interest.

“People recognize that all these desperate efforts by the passive media in the most sensitive areas of the country are rooted in their candidate’s defeat,” the statement read.

The ongoing process of narrowing the circle of trusted regime insiders, criticized as political "purification," seemingly aimed at preparing for the eventual death of the 85-year-old Supreme Leader, has intensified power struggles among the conservative spectrum.

Last week, physical confrontations erupted in parliament between supporters of two MPs, one reportedly failed the credential verification to remain a parliamentarian.

Record low turnout for the elections is expected amid mass discontent and disenfranchisement. In the March elections, while official figures claimed around 40 percent of the population came to the polls, independent figures suggest closer to 10. In the last two rounds of presidential elections figures have also seen Iranians boycott the polls, aware that ultimately the Supreme Leader himself will decide the incoming Presidential candidate.

The last presidential elections in 2021 saw the lowest recorded turnout since the founding of the Islamic Republic. While official figures claimed around 41 percent voted, like March, the real numbers are believed to have been much lower.