'Iran is not winning this war,' Trump says at G7

"If you put aside the human story, in general, life totally exists here, you can go out, there is food in the stores," said Eisin, a senior fellow at the International Institute for counter-terrorism and a retired colonel of the Israeli Defense Forces. Nobody is happy but the stress has not brought panic. That’s amazing in itself.”

Still, Iran’s retaliatory attacks are far heavier than the two last year when Iran first launched direct attacks on Israel, with missile payloads ranging from 500kg to a ton, says Eisin, who served as the first female Deputy Head of the Combat Intelligence Corps.

“We had estimated 5,000 deaths - we expected more barrages - and the risk of Hezbollah and the Houthis joining in simultaneously,” Eisin said, while as of Monday, the government cited just 24 fatalities.

“We do a guesstimate of what they can do based on worst case scenarios and expecting that the system is overwhelmed. You have to have the estimates as the hospital needs to be ready."

“Right now Iran has fired 370 missiles and 30 got through. If it hits urban areas you see the devastation there, but Israel continues to intercept more than 90% with its air defense systems which is amazing,"

The Israeli military on Monday said it had destroyed one third of Iran’s surface-to-surface missile launchers.

Delayed response

Israel’s strategy to create havoc among Iran’s command and control personnel was key to Israel's strategy, she said, a move which takes 12-15 hours to recover from.

In the first wave of attacks on Friday morning, Israel killed the senior leaders of Iran's military and struck at air defenses, missile sites and two nuclear facilities.

“I was expecting an immediate Iranian response and the lack of that is because we took out all that hierarchy and it takes several hours to get that back, hence the response was only from around 9pm and onwards,” she said.

The attacks from Iran have predominantly hit civilian targets, all the 24 deaths so far in heavily populated urban centers. Rescue service Magen David Adom said that it has dealt with a total of 708 casualties as of Monday.

Eisin said that like in Syria, many of Iran’s military and nuclear sites are deep underground and buried in urban areas, meaning that in spite of Israel sending warnings, there will also be a human toll on the Iranian side.

Multiple neighborhoods of Tehran have seen an exodus since Friday after massive strikes across the capital and Iran's health ministry said 224 Iranians have been killed since Friday, and more than 1200 injured - 90% civilians.

Israel's campaign focused on it's nemesis's nuclear program, Eisin said, and the surprise attack aimed to pave the way for Iran to make concessions in a negotiated settlement.

“The end game here is nuclear and the diplomatic channels for that are already working,” she said.

"A light has been lit—carry it to freedom,” Netanyahu told Iran International's anchor Pouria Zeraati on Monday.

“This is the time,” he said. “Your hour of freedom is near—it’s happening now.”

Netanyahu cast the Islamic Republic as an enduring threat to Israel through its nuclear and ballistic missile programs.

“The tyrants of Tehran basically planned two weapons of mass death to exterminate Israel,” he said. “One is to rush forward with their nuclear program to develop atomic bombs to destroy Israel."

"Second, they've programmed to build a vast missile, ballistic missile arsenal … Each missile carrying a one-ton payload, just slamming into our cities, killing our women, our children. They were going to build 20,000 of these,” he added.

Netanyahu framed Israel’s ongoing campaign as both a defensive war and an opportunity for the leadership in Tehran to be overthrown.

“This is evil against good, and it's time for good people to stand up with the good, the good people of Iran, and good people everywhere against this madness foisted on all of us by this radical tyranny. It's about to end,” Netanyahu said.

Israeli attacks since Friday have killed 322 people and wounded 684, according to human rights group HRANA.

'They fear us, they fear you'

The Israeli premier suggested that the Islamic Republic’s military vulnerability could also hasten its political collapse.

“These dictators in Iran, sure they fear us—but they fear you, the people of Iran, even more,” he said. “They understand that 80 percent of Iranians despise them."

Netanyahu said Israel’s precision targeting had already knocked out key parts of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and missile production capabilities.

“(We) knocked out their chief nuclear team, their nuclear sites… we're knocking out their ballistic missile production,” he said. “We still have a way to go, but we’ll finish it.”

Drawing a contrast between Israel’s military conduct and Iran’s, Netanyahu said, “You can see that by the warnings that we are sending. The forewarnings that we're sending to the people of Tehran and elsewhere.

"It is necessary in order to have the people leave the zone of conflict. That's the whole difference between a terrorist regime that deliberately targets civilians in a democracy like Israel.”

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said earlier on the day that while Israel does not aim to harm civilians, residents of Tehran must evacuate areas near government and military sites that could be targeted.

An illustrated depiction of the Tehran evacuation zone published by the Israeli military encompassed an area around 30 square kilometers, an area home to several hundred thousand people.

Netanyahu said the people of Iran had suffered under the Islamic Republic and mentioned a young woman whose death in morality police custody sparked nationwide protests in 2022.

“They've impoverished you. They've given you misery. They've given you death. They've given you terror. They shoot down your women, leaving this brave, unbelievable woman, Mahsa Amini, to bleed on the sidewalk for not covering her hair. I mean, this is an outrageous radical fanatic regime, and the time has come to defang them.”

Netanyahu said Iran could be made "great again" and that Iran's people were its future.

“I believe in you. I respect you. I admire you. I know your achievements. I know your potential. I know that Iran can be great again. It was a great civilization, and these theological thuggery that has kidnapped your country, will not stand for long, and you are the future, not them.”

The latest wave of Israeli airstrikes, which began at midday, followed hours after a warning from Israel’s Ministry of Defense urging civilians to avoid areas near military and weapons facilities.

The attacks have sparked deep anxiety across Tehran, a city already struggling under energy shortages and economic malaise before the conflict.

“I can’t think straight. I’m packing as we speak. The whole city is under attack and the roads out are jam-packed with cars,” said Neda, a 37-year-old mother of two, struggling to hold back tears.

“My elderly parents are reliving the traumas of the Iran-Iraq war every time a missile lands,” she added. “I have very little hope that the Islamic Republic and Israel will stop anytime soon. I just hope our home is still standing when and if we return.”

Reported targets included the Justice, Intelligence, and Oil ministries located in densely populated residential and commercial districts.

Multiple residential buildings were also struck during the ongoing daytime raids.

“The first two days were incredibly terrifying because there are so many military facilities near my home. A missile could land on us with no warning any minute. I’m praying for all this to end soon,” said Ladan, a 46-year-old housewife who lives in northeast Tehran, after reaching Mazandaran in the Caspian region.

Bazaar shuttered

Tehran’s Grand Bazaar and many other businesses shuttered quickly as queues outside petrol stations grew longer. Authorities have now capped fuel purchases at 15 liters per private vehicle per day.

While Iran’s government has not released overall casualty figures, state media reported that ten children were killed overnight in a residential building in northeast Tehran.

Arash, a 48-year-old engineer, said his entire family is preparing to flee.

“Israel struck several places near our neighborhood this morning. One explosion blew the windows open. We’re heading to my parents’ home in the Caspian region—but I’m not sure it’s safe there either.”

Ali, a 38-year-old teacher, said he was still looking for somewhere safe to take shelter. “People with money have already left. For people like us, it’s hard to survive more than a few days away from home.”

Online, confusion and fear are spreading.

“Every [Telegram] channel that I check says to leave Tehran -- but where exactly should we go when we don’t have anyone [to stay with] or know any places [that are safe]?” @stillwjm97 posted on X.

Shelters, human toll

Outspoken former lawmaker Mahmoud Sadeghi echoed the urgency in a post on X.

“The war has truly begun. Declare a state of war. Prioritize protecting people's lives. Let’s minimize human casualties by preparing shelters and issuing warnings,” he addressed the authorities.

“So many missiles are landing in Tel Aviv and Haifa, but the human toll is not comparable to Iran.”

Tehran has no dedicated, fully stocked public bomb shelters like those in Israel. Some neighborhood bunkers built during the Iran-Iraq War remain unused and unprepared, and no sirens have been sounded ahead of the recent attacks.

The government on Sunday announced metro stations, mosques and schools would stay open overnight for shelter. But residents say that metro stations are not equipped as bomb shelters and lack basic amenities such as toilers.

Some social media users are expressing concern that most mosques and schools may be as vulnerable to bombs and missiles as their homes.

Israeli attacks targeted Iran’s foreign ministry, interior ministry and ministry of intelligence along with military targets across the capital Tehran and nationwide. Tehran’s historic bazaar was shut down as merchants evacuated.

US President Trump said it was time for a deal to end the hostilities but suggested letting Israel and Iran keep scrapping.

"Well I hope there's going to be a deal. I think it's time for a deal and we'll see what happens but sometimes they have to fight it out but we're going to see what happens. I think there's a good chance there will be a deal," he told reporters on Sunday.

Israeli attacks since Friday had killed 224 people and wounded 1,277, spokesman for Iran’s health ministry Hossein Kermanpour said on social media.

Four people were killed in the latest Iranian missile attacks on Israel's central region, medic service Magen David Adom said early on Monday local time. Live feeds showed several apparent missile impacts on the northern port city of Haifa as well.

Tehran exodus

Traffic volume also surged at major exit points from Tehran, including the Tehran-North highway, Tehran-Qom route, and Haraz road, police said on Sunday, amid escalating war between Iran and Israel.

Israel has approved a new strike plan designed to prompt a mass civilian exodus from Tehran by targeting sites linked to the Iranian government, the Jewish state's Channel 14 reported Sunday night.

Explosions were also reported near key locations including Niavaran, Kashavarz Boulevard, the vicinity of Azadi Stadium, and the Air Force area (Nirou-Havaei) in eastern Tehran.

More attacks struck around Fatemi Square -- where the Interior Ministry is located --Valiasr Square, and downtown intersections near Alaeddin shopping mall in Jomhouri street.

Iranians from neighborhoods such as Jannatabad, Shush, Saadatabad, Punak, Ekbatan, and Chitgarhave sent Iran International video confirming missile strikes and anti-aircraft fire throughout the capital.

Around the airport area and Mehrabad, drone activity and defensive fire were also reported.

Strikes all across Iran

Beyond Tehran, the nearby city of Karaj faced drone assaults, particularly around the Azimieh area, with residents reporting heavy smoke and continuous anti-aircraft defense activity from the nearby mountains.

In the northwest, officials in Tabriz confirmed drone incursions and defensive responses but denied any explosions.

An Israeli military spokesperson also said on Sunday that they also attacked Isfahan nuclear facility.

Warning of regional escalation

Meanwhile a veteran commander mooted regional conflict and a possible eventual resort to nuclear weapons.

"Iran may be forced to take actions that could destabilize the entire region," Mohsen Rezaei, the IRGC general who commanded Iranian forces during the Iran-Iraq war, told the state TV.

Rezaei, once again seen wearing his military uniform, warned that Iran might have to cross its own red lines.

"For now, we have no plans to move towards nuclear weapons," Rezaei said.

Communications disrupted

Internet services have been disrupted in many Iranian cities, with users reporting severe difficulties accessing social media platforms like Instagram and messaging apps such as WhatsApp.

Videos shared on social media showed simultaneous fires at the Shohran oil depot and the Shahr-e Rey refinery near Tehran, with flames continuing for hours after the initial strikes overnight.

‘We have yet to strike all targets,’ Israeli military says

An Israeli military official said that a long list of Iranian targets remains untouched. Since June 13, the Israeli military has conducted approximately 170 airstrikes, striking over 720 sites across Iran.

Israel also issued a warning on Sunday, urging Tehran residents near weapons production centers to evacuate.

As the strikes continue, sounds of explosions and anti-aircraft gunfire remain frequent across Tehran and other cities.

“Iran is the principal source of instability in the Middle East,” said Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission.

Von der Leyen warned that Iran’s destabilizing actions aren’t confined to the Middle East.

“The same type of Iranian-designed drones and ballistic missiles are indiscriminately hitting civilians in Ukraine and now in Israel,” she said. “They must be addressed together.”

The European Commission president called for a unified response to both crises, arguing that any solution must take into account the broader threat posed by Iran’s weapons exports and regional aggression.

“Iran can never have nuclear weapons."

Von der Leyen said she spoke by phone with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday to discuss the need for a lasting solution through negotiation, but said Israel “has a right to defend itself.”

US President Donald Trump also spoke by phone with Van der Leyen to discuss the economic fallout of the Iran-Israel war, focusing on potential safeguards to stabilize global energy markets.

The conflict, which saw both countries target each other’s energy infrastructure over the weekend, has already sent oil prices surging and disrupted tanker traffic and supply flows across the region—threatening to push the global economy into deeper volatility.

“The time to give diplomacy a chance is now,” said António Costa, President of the European Council. “We must step up our efforts in the Middle East.”