Iran says it will not deploy forces despite Israeli blows to Hezbollah

The strategy began around a decade ago but has been stepped up in the wake of the October 7 attack on Israel and especially during the latest escalation between Iran and Israel, the agency said in a statement on Monday.

“In recent weeks, the Shin Bet has detected a significant rise in Iran’s efforts to advance assassination attacks against targets in Israel,” the Shin Bet said.

Iranians are working to recruit Israeli citizens online including through job search engines as well as finance and crypto currency sites, the agency added

Israelis have been offered sizable payments for tasks such as burying money and phones in various places in Israel, distributing flyers and setting fire to vehicles, it added.

Several assassination plots had reached very advanced stages, the Shin Bet said, without elaborating.

Earlier this month, Shin Bet announced the arrest of an Israeli citizen Moti Maman who was smuggled into Iran twice and was allegedly tasked with helping to assassinate the Israeli prime minister, defense minister, or head of the Shin Bet.

As the keynote speaker at the "Iran Conference 2024," hosted by NUFDI, a US-based nonprofit promoting democracy and human rights in Iran, Prince Reza Pahlavi addressed several key economic challenges that any post-Islamic Republic government must confront.

The presentation began with a comparison of Iran's economy to other developing nations, both past and present. Pahlavi explained how Iran's economy has deteriorated since the inception of the clerical Islamic government and how the Islamic Republic has worsened the lives of Iranians, before outlining 10 principles for rebuilding the economy after the potential fall of the current Islamist government.

In his "Iran’s Prosperity Project" vision, while Prince Pahlavi outlined missed opportunities and the path forward, he offered little on the dominant economic role of the government and military, which have stifled private sector growth and investment.

In discussions on Iran’s economic revival, it is essential to consider the governance system and social structures shaping the current economy. Key areas for analysis should include the role of state-owned banks and companies, resource allocation, subsidies, and the impact of a state-controlled economy on social capital—factors that greatly influence the feasibility and sustainability of economic reforms.

Breaking down Pahlavi’s 10-principle plan

The ten clauses outlined by Pahlavi in this project fail to address these fundamental questions, as they overlook the elephant in the room.

The plan needs to be enhanced by clear ideas on how to finance a smaller government, and how to distribute huge potential revenues from oil and gas, once a more capable government is able to remove sanctions and expand its vital fossil fuel sector. Should the government continue to keep energy export revenues and finance development projects, or find ways to involve the private sector in a liberal economy?

Where does the national income come from, and how is it spent? How can the most pressing concerns of the Iranian people—waste, corruption, and incompetence—be effectively addressed?

The following outlines the ten principles mentioned in Pahlavi’s remarks, along with their key issues:

1. "Trusting citizens to make decisions based on their interests"

The crucial question of how remains unanswered. The most effective form of trust would involve depositing national income directly into people's pockets. How can individuals make decisions based on their own interests if they lack access to their own resources?

2. "Creating opportunities by the government for all citizens to thrive"

What does "opportunity for all" really mean? It refers to giving individuals the ability to invest directly in retirement plans, college funds, the stock market, and businesses—rather than having economic affairs controlled by state-run companies managed by government-appointed officials. With these opportunities, people would be more motivated to invest in their children's education, stocks, and retirement, fostering greater personal financial empowerment.

3. "Policies to empower individuals by fostering personal responsibility and innovation"

Individual responsibility is impossible without active participation in the economy. While innovation and responsibility are essential, they cannot be achieved without access to banking resources and national income.

4. "Respect for private property"

Genuine respect for private ownership requires enabling its practical implementation. The centralization of national resources and their revenues under government control presents a significant barrier, limiting the development of a robust private ownership framework.

5. "Market mechanisms guiding economic transactions"

Market mechanisms cannot function effectively when the state controls over 80% of the nation's resources. A key question is how this figure could be reduced to 60% or even 40%, which would require significant structural reforms.

6. "Removing barriers and fostering conditions for domestic entrepreneurs and a business-friendly environment"

Entrepreneurship is not possible if aspiring entrepreneurs cannot rely on people's accumulated capital in banks or expertise. What mechanisms could funnel capital to new enterprises?

7. "Inflation control with financial discipline and an independent central bank"

The independence of the central bank cannot be guaranteed when 80% of the economy is controlled by the state. With such dominance, the government inevitably turns the central bank into a tool for advancing its monetary policies. True independence is driven by the circulation of money within the private sector, which compels the central bank to make autonomous decisions. This independence cannot be assured merely by orders or legislation.

8. "Eliminating barriers to women's participation in the labor market"

Women cannot start small businesses without access to capital. To address the centuries of inequality resulting from unequal inheritance and low female employment, a portion of public income should be allocated directly to women.

9. "Productivity driven by enhancing human capital and adopting technology to fuel economic growth"

Productivity and human capital diminish under a large, and therefore corrupt, government. Reducing the government's and military's role in the economy leads to greater human capital development and lower levels of corruption.

10. "Rejoining the global economy and attracting foreign investment"

Government-controlled economies that retain most resources and lack a strong private sector struggle to attract foreign investors. In contrast, foreign investment flows more readily into economies with a reduced government presence and a more robust private sector.

Three major issues in Pahlavi's economic vision

Based on Pahlavi’s proposed plan, three clear conclusions emerge.

If the plan is to be implemented one day, then it is impossible with a state-controlled economy. The proposed policies can be easily ignored in practice, yet still repeatedly included in five-year economic plans without any real intention of implementing them.

Without a clear strategy to prevent the government from monopolizing resources, even a national framework risks funneling wealth into the hands of a small, insider elite—leading to corruption and the formation of mafias. Curbing this by limiting government spending through taxation offers a crucial safeguard.

Finally, if the true goal is prosperity and public welfare, revenues from national resources should be directed to individuals, rather than being funneled into the treasury. Large development projects do not need to be controlled by government bureaucracies. Although the government can offer loans financed by taxes on oil and gas exports, development projects can be funded primarily through bonds and private bank investments.

Editorial note - Opinions expressed by the author are not necessarily the views of Iran International

The assassination comes from a change of approach from Israeli intelligence which has now transformed the face of the decades-long conflict with Iran’s most powerful proxy after its top ranks have been shattered by two weeks of targeted attacks across Lebanon.

The Financial Times reported that Israel has relied on exceptional intelligence in recent months, beginning with the July 30 assassination of Fuad Shukr, a key aide to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Officials told the newspaper that there had been a large-scale reorientation of Israel’s intelligence-gathering efforts on Hezbollah after the surprising failure of its far more powerful military to deliver a knockout blow against the militant group in 2006, or even to eliminate its senior leadership, including Nasrallah.

“For the next two decades, Israel’s sophisticated signals intelligence Unit 8200, and its military intelligence directorate, called Aman, mined vast amounts of data to map out the fast-growing militia in Israel’s 'northern arena,'” the paper wrote.

Speaking to Iran International, an Israeli official said that Israel is now working fast before the intervention of the US can stand in the way of its blitzing the group.

“There has to be a major amount of damage done, and quickly, before the US starts to step up pressure for a truce,” he said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

“We don’t want a repeat of Gaza where our hands are tied, limiting the success of our operations and in the end, lengthening the war.”

He said the killing of Nasrallah also marked a political change for Israel, which had in recent years acted more cautiously on the killing of the group's leader, treating him as "more like a head of state". But now, the gloves are off.

Since October 8, Hezbollah has launched over 8,000 projectiles towards Israel in allegiance with Hamas in Gaza’s atrocities of October 7. The invasion saw thousands of Iran-backed Hamas militia invade Israel killing at least 1,100 and taking over 250 hostages to Gaza, 101 of whom remain there. In Israel, 63,000 civilians have since been displaced.

Since the pager explosions which saw around 1,500 Hezbollah operatives taken out of action in Beirut, Israel has gone full force, with troops now on the ground as the country vows to create safety on its northern border in a bid to return home the residents now spread around the country.

Another Israeli official told Iran International that there is a “limited incursion” underway but did not give details beyond the fact special forces are there to dismantle key military targets in the area meant to have been demilitarized under 2006's UN Resolution 1701, a resolution Hezbollah has since continued to breach.

Speaking to the FT, Miri Eisin, a former senior intelligence officer, said Israeli intelligence had “widened its aperture to view the entirety of Hezbollah, looking beyond just its military wing to its political ambitions and growing connections with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and Nasrallah’s relationship with Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad”.

It has taken 40 years for Israel to get such an upper hand, having seen the group through this time as a “terror army”. Changing this approach, Eisin told the FT that Israel was forced to study the Iran-backed militia with the same eyes as it had the likes of the Syrian army. The Syrian war for which Hezbollah lent its troops, offered the chance to see the group in a more revealing light.

The FT said that “while Hezbollah’s fighters were battle hardened in Syria’s bloody war, the militant group’s forces had grown to keep pace with the drawn-out conflict. That recruitment also left them more vulnerable to Israeli spies placing agents or looking for would-be defectors.”

According to Randa Slim, a program director at the Middle East Institute in Washington, “Syria was the beginning of the expansion of Hezbollah …. That [war] weakened their internal control mechanisms and opened the door for infiltration on a big level.”

The war in Syria also “created a fountain of data, much of it publicly available for Israel’s spies — and their algorithms — to digest”, the report noted.

Obituaries, regularly used by Hezbollah for its martyrs, were one of those vitally revealing tools, offering insights such as where the fighter was from, where he was killed, and his circle of friends posting the news on social media. Funerals also offered the chance to draw senior leaders out of the shadows, even if briefly.

Quoting a former high-ranking Lebanese politician in Beirut, the FT said the penetration of Hezbollah by Israeli or US intelligence was “the price of their support for Assad”.

“They had to reveal themselves in Syria,” he said, where the secretive group suddenly had to stay in touch and share information with the notoriously corrupt Syrian intelligence service, or with Russian intelligence services, who were regularly monitored by the Americans.

Hezbollah blew up Shin Bet’s headquarters in Tyre not once but twice in the early years of Israel’s occupation of southern Lebanon. At one point in the late 1990s, Israel realized that Hezbollah was hijacking its then-unencrypted drone broadcasts, learning about the Israel Defense Forces’ own targets and methods, according to two people familiar with the issue.

Israel’s technical expertise also saw it take advantage of the likes of spy satellites, sophisticated drones and cyber-hacking capabilities that turn mobile phones into listening devices.

Israeli news outlet Ynet said that as Israel began to close in on Hezbollah, the first military intelligence used cyber technology and electronic intelligence gathering, mostly by the IDF's 8200 unit. Then the military gathered visual intelligence that could identify precise coordinates and locations and, finally, the military's 504 unit gathered information from human sources.

Intelligence agency Mossad likely laid the foundations for the entire effort in operations, Ynet said, and the details of which will likely never be revealed as Israel has a tight 50-year non disclosure rule on security information, much of which, even is locked beyond that.

Mossad has a long history of agents on the ground in Lebanon such as the high-profile case of Erika Chambers, a Mossad operative who was one of the people behind the 1979 assassination of Ali Hassan Salameh, a high-ranking official in the Palestine Liberation Organization.

Salameh was a founding member of Black September, the militant group responsible for orchestrating the attack that killed 11 Israeli athletes at the 1972 Munich Olympics. Chambers had entered Lebanon posing as a British charity worker and lived in an apartment overlooking a car park used by Salameh. Eventually, that lookout post would see her detonate the bomb that killed him in 1979, planted on his car by another operative, before she left the country soon after.

Today, Unit 9900, which writes algorithms that sift through terabytes of visual images to find the slightest changes, has also been key, wrote the FT, its work to identify an improvised explosive device by a roadside, a vent over a tunnel or the sudden addition of a concrete reinforcement, hinting at a bunker.

The unit identifies an operative, feeding daily patterns of movements into a vast database of information, siphoned off from devices that could include family phones, or his smart car’s odometer. These can be identified from sources as disparate as a drone flying overhead, from a hacked CCTV camera feed that he happens to pass by and even from his voice captured on the microphone of a modern TV’s remote control, according to several Israeli officials speaking to the FT.

The huge bank of information has allowed Israel to take out of action the top echelons of the group and shock the world in the wake of the pager and walkie-talkie operation in which explosives were planted in the group's communications devices just 10 days before the leader of the group was killed. In between, nearly all the group’s top commanders had been hit, along with a wealth of military infrastructure.

Now, as the Lebanese militia stands in disarray and Israel continues to pound it hard so there is no room to regroup, the Jewish state is simultaneously going hard on Iran’s Yemeni proxy, the Houthis, to make sure they are clear of the consequences of trying to step into the breach.

The shipment of 1,100 ancient Achaemenid-era clay tablets The tablets have now been transferred to the National Museum of Iran and will be publicly displayed in two weeks, according to the Ministry of Cultural Heritage.

While the repatriation has been dubbed by domestic Iranian media as Pezeshkian's "souvenir", it holds deep significance for Iranians, reconnecting the country with its ancient pre-Islamic heritage, nearly 1,000 years before Islam, and offering invaluable insights into the Persian Empire’s administration and daily life.

The Elamite cuneiform inscriptions were discovered by an archaeological team from the University of Chicago, led by renowned archaeologist Ernst Herzfeld, during the excavation of Persepolis (Takht-e Jamshid), the ceremonial capital of the Persian Empire, in the 1930s.

These clay tablets, written in cuneiform script, belonged to the Persepolis Fortification Archive, which held records from a single administrative organization around 500 BC and consisted of tens of thousands of fragile clay fragments.

The records provide a wealth of information about the lives of royals and ordinary working people, including women who served the royal household or worked as artisans, detailing their wages and rations, which were paid in silver or commodities such as wine, beer, and grains.

They also reveal the use of a highly effective accounting system. Many of the clay tablets were sent to the Persepolis archive from other regions of the Persian Empire for safekeeping, offering great insight into the empire’s vast history and transportation networks.

In 1935, the Iranian government loaned 30,000 pieces of the tablets to the University of Chicago’s Oriental Institute for three years to be reconstructed and deciphered. However, due to the complexity of the work and the fragile nature of the tablets, they remained at the institute until 1948, when the first batch, including 150 pieces, was returned to Iran.

The course of Iranian governance took a dramatic turn approximately 31 years later with the Islamic Revolution of 1979, which resulted in the establishment of a theocratic Islamic state, replacing the monarchy of the Shah.

In 2001, during the presidency of Mohammad Khatami–who is labeled by some as a reformist– another 300 inscribed tablets were repatriated after being fully pieced together, translated, and digitally cataloged. Another 300 tablets followed in 2004.

After this shipment, a legal dispute emerged from a group of Americans, seeking to collect on a $423.5 million judgment awarded to them as damages. They had sued the Iranian state, demanding the seizure and auction of the tablet collection as compensation.

The plaintiffs, victims of a 1997 Hamas bombing in Jerusalem, claimed Iran was responsible for the attack due to its ties with Hamas and argued that the tablets were commercial property of the Iranian government that could be sold as antiques. In 2006, a US federal court ruled in their favor.

After years of legal battle, a US court of appeals in Chicago rejected the request for the tablets' seizure in 2011. The plaintiffs continued to challenge the ruling until 2018, when the US Supreme Court upheld the appeals court decision.

As a result, the University of Chicago repatriated two more collections, including over 5,000 tablets, in 2019 and 2023. Some of these tablets are now on display at the Persepolis Museum.

The tablets are inscribed in Elamite, a language spoken in the ancient kingdom of Elam in southwestern Iran and during the Achaemenid period (559 BC to 331 BC). Elamite, unrelated to any other ancient or modern language, became extinct around 400 BC.

The language was recorded in pictographic, figurative, and later cuneiform characters from the middle of the 3rd millennium BC. Elamite served as one of the official languages of the Persian Empire, alongside Old Persian and Akkadian.

Iranian Elamitologist Abdul-Majid Arfaee (born 1939) has translated over 2,500 of these documents. Arfaee, who studied under American Elamologist and Assyriologist Richard Hallock at the University of Chicago in the 1970s, founded the Inscriptions Hall at the National Museum of Iran to house part of the collection returned to Iran in the 1980s.

The ultra-hardline Farhikhtegan newspaper wrote on Monday: "The Biden administration has played a central role in both the security planning of resistance leaders' assassinations and in arming the Zionists." It then posed the question: "Will he, too, become a legitimate target for the resistance after his term ends?"

The newspaper also depicted Biden in a caricature wearing diapers, either mocking him for his age or suggesting fear.

On Sunday, Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi also condemned the US. "The United States is a partner in this crime and can in no way distance itself from this reality. The blood of the martyrs in this incident will not go unanswered, and we will certainly stand by Lebanon."

Farhikhtegan, representing the views of the Paydari party, which opposes any nuclear agreement and normalization with the West, argued that Americans typically pay their bills throughout their lives, but in the Middle East, they are escaping the cost of their pro-Israel policies. It claimed that since January, when large-scale attacks on US forces in Iraq and Syria ceased, Washington has avoided consequences for its actions.

"If Washington is truly concerned about unintended harm to its military personnel in the region due to Tel Aviv's rogue actions, greater control over the Zionists' misuse of American weapons would effectively rein in the regime. However, US officials have not only failed to act but have also supported the assassination of Hezbollah's Secretary-General in Lebanon," Farhikhtegan wrote.

Also on Monday, the hardline Kayhan newspaper, backed by the Supreme Leader’s office, called for using “surprise weapons” against Israel. Kayhan wrote: "The brutal attack by the Zionist regime on the Hezbollah leadership meeting, and the audacity of this regime in martyring Nasrallah, have doubled the necessity for a firm, heavy, and strong response to its madness and aggression."

The newspaper suggested targeting military supplies headed to Israel on the high seas or launching stronger attacks against Israeli air bases to cripple its primary weapon, the air force. In conclusion, Kayhan emphasized that "Netanyahu must know that Iran and the Axis of Resistance are prepared for any scenario," adding: "In this game of courage, we will not step aside. Perhaps it is time to use weapons that will certainly surprise Israel."