• العربية
  • فارسی
Brand
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Theme
  • Language
    • العربية
    • فارسی
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
All rights reserved for Volant Media UK Limited
volant media logo

Iran downplays Aleppo losses, vows continued support for Assad

Nov 30, 2024, 12:40 GMT+0Updated: 12:17 GMT+0
A car is parked near a ripped poster of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, after rebels opposed to President Bashar al-Assad said they had reached the heart of Aleppo, Syria November 30, 2024.
A car is parked near a ripped poster of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, after rebels opposed to President Bashar al-Assad said they had reached the heart of Aleppo, Syria November 30, 2024.

Iranian officials have downplayed the capture of Aleppo by Syrian opposition forces, framing the loss as a minor setback while doubling down on their support for Bashar al-Assad.

The swift capture of Syria’s second-largest city by opposition groups, including Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), has dealt a blow to Iranian-backed forces and raised questions about Tehran’s long-term strategy in the region.

Commander Hossein Daghighi, an advisor to the IRGC, vowed retaliation, saying, "The enemy is incapable of taking any effective action, as the resistance networks have been systematically organized.”

His remarks coincided with reports by opposition forces indicating that Assad's forces and his allies have been in retreat from their position around Aleppo.

“Their attempts to meddle in Syria will result in their hand being decisively severed, leaving a mark on history that will not be forgotten," Daghighi said on Saturday.

Another Iranian official commented, “The enemy has exploited the ceasefire conditions in Lebanon and seeks to plunge Syria into chaos.”

“I assure you that the enemies will fail as they have in the past," Iraj Masjedi, Deputy Coordinator of the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guard, said on Saturday.

Islamic Republic officials use the term "enemy" to refer to Israel or the United States.

Iranian state media also echoed this defiance, warning of repercussions for what they called a sedition. Despite such declarations, the rapid collapse of pro-Assad forces in Aleppo marks a challenge for Iran's Islamic government.

The fall of Aleppo comes after years of Iranian support for Assad’s military, including financial aid, weapons, and personnel from the IRGC and allied militias such as Hezbollah. These forces have propped up the Syrian regime in its efforts to reclaim territory since the civil war began in 2011. However, the latest rebel offensive has demonstrated the limits of Tehran’s capabilities that have weakened in recent months because of relentless Israel attacks against Hezbollah.

Opposition forces have exploited weaknesses in Assad’s overstretched troops, many of whom rely on Iranian support. Mustafa Abdul Jaber, a commander in the Jaish al-Izza opposition brigade in Syria, told Reuters that Iran’s focus on other fronts, including Gaza and Lebanon, has left gaps in its ability to defend Assad’s forces in Aleppo.

However, Iranian state media have also sought to downplay the implications of Aleppo’s loss, portraying it as part of a broader Western and Israeli plot to destabilize the region.

The Kayhan newspaper accused the US and its allies of reviving “takfiri terrorists” to pressure Iran to resume negotiations with the West over its nuclear dossier and disrupt its regional influence.

Rebels led by the Islamist militant group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham drive on a motorbike in al-Rashideen, Aleppo province, Syria November 29, 2024.
100%
Rebels led by the Islamist militant group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham drive on a motorbike in al-Rashideen, Aleppo province, Syria November 29, 2024.

It claimed the goal was to sever vital communication links between Iran and its allies in Lebanon and Gaza.

"The Resistance Axes are the arms of Iran, our allies, and our friends. An attack on them is an attack on our capabilities. Over the past couple of days, during the war in Syria and Aleppo, several Iranians have been martyred. Therefore, the ultimate and primary target of this new war and the 'Aleppo sedition' is Iran."

Esmail Baghaei, spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry, had earlier condemned the rebel offensive as a violation of Syria’s sovereignty.

“According to the existing agreements among the three guarantor countries of the Astana Process (Iran, Turkey, and Russia), the outskirts of Aleppo and Idlib are considered de-escalation zones. Terrorist groups' attacks on these areas constitute a blatant violation of the Astana Process agreements and put the positive achievements of this process at serious risk,” said Baghaei on Thursday.

However, these statements fail to mask the broader setbacks Tehran is facing. The death of senior Iranian IRGC commander General Kioumars Pourhashemi during the Aleppo clashes underscores the high costs of Iran’s involvement in Syria.

Rouydad 24, a moderate Iranian news website, reported that the resurgence of Syria's civil war is linked to recent developments in Gaza and Lebanon.

It that from the perspective of the attackers and their strategists, the ceasefire in Lebanon and Hezbollah's commitment to the agreement, "Hamas's isolation in its uneven war with Israel," and Russia's preoccupation with the war in Ukraine have created an opportunity to corner Bashar al-Assad and his political system.

“If successful, this opportunity could, on the one hand, secure Israel's security interests by limiting the Resistance Axis's ability to support Hezbollah and, consequently, Hamas, while also altering the foreign policy stance of Assad's political regime. On the other hand, it could force Damascus to accept demands pursued by Turkey and the United States through their occupation of parts of Syrian territory,” Jalal Khoshchehreh, an analyst wrote for Rouydad 24.

Most Viewed

Iran diplomacy wobbles as factions compete to avoid looking soft on US
1
INSIGHT

Iran diplomacy wobbles as factions compete to avoid looking soft on US

2
VOICES FROM IRAN

Bread shortages, soaring prices strain households in Iran, residents say

3
ANALYSIS

The politics of pink: how Iran uses cuteness to rebrand violence

4

Scam messages seek crypto for ships’ safe passage through Hormuz, firm warns

5
EXCLUSIVE

Family told missing teen was alive, then received his body 60 days later

Banner
Banner

Spotlight

  • Diplomacy tolls at Hormuz as conflict returns to its doorstep
    OPINION

    Diplomacy tolls at Hormuz as conflict returns to its doorstep

  • Opposition to US talks grows in Tehran as ceasefire deadline nears
    INSIGHT

    Opposition to US talks grows in Tehran as ceasefire deadline nears

  • Tehran moderates see ‘no deal–no war’ limbo as worst outcome
    INSIGHT

    Tehran moderates see ‘no deal–no war’ limbo as worst outcome

  • The future has been switched off here
    TEHRAN INSIDER

    The future has been switched off here

  • Lights out, then gunfire: Witnesses recount Mashhad protest crackdown
    VOICES FROM IRAN

    Lights out, then gunfire: Witnesses recount Mashhad protest crackdown

  • Is Iran entering its Gorbachev moment?
    INSIGHT

    Is Iran entering its Gorbachev moment?

Tweet unavailable

•
•
•

More Stories

Iran teachers' union rues student suicide 'tsunami'

Nov 30, 2024, 10:08 GMT+0

An Iranian teacher's union has sounded the alarm over a rise in student suicides, blaming it in part on religious morality enforcement and neglect of youth mental health issues.

The latest suicide of a female student is part of a "harrowing cycle deeply rooted in flawed policies, systemic pressures within the education sector, ideological impositions, and the disregard of authorities for the growing mental health crisis in schools," the Coordinating Council of the Iranian Teachers’ Trade Associations (CCITTA) said in a statement on Thursday.

The union was referring to the death of 16-year-old Sogand Zamanpour, who died by suicide in Masjed Soleiman in southwestern Iran. No further details about her case publicly known.

Her death follows that of Aynaz Karimi in Kazeroon, Fars province, earlier this month. Aynaz faced pressure from her school principal for minor infractions, including wearing nail polish and dyeing her hair, according to the Coordination Council of Iranian Educators' Trade Associations. This led to her eventual expulsion, after which she ended her life—a case that CCITTA said highlights the psychological toll of a repressive educational environment.

A week earlier, Arezou, a 16-year-old Afghan-Iranian girl in Tehran, ended her life after a confrontation with her school principal over wearing jeans instead of the required uniform. Her father explained that she left the school upset and later jumped from a sixth-floor apartment. He has held the school accountable for her death and filed a formal complaint.

Arezou’s case sparked comparisons on social media between Afghan and Iranian girls, with some pointing out the irony of escaping Taliban oppression only to face similar restrictions in Iran.

The teacher's union said the grim phenomenon is linked to official neglect of students' mental health. The council condemned the practice of using schools to instill ideological beliefs, warning that such policies strip students of their identity and future.

Established in 2001, CCITTA serves as the coordinating body for around 20 provincial chapters of the Iranian Teachers’ Trade Association (ITTA). The council further criticized the government’s education policies for imposing strict ideological frameworks that undermine students' individuality and motivation.

Reflecting on the initial cases, Zahra Behrouz Azar, Deputy for Women’s Affairs in Masoud Pezeshkian’s administration, addressed the suicides of two female students in an interview with Ham-Mihan Online earlier this month.

"While it may not be accurate to suggest an upward trend, even these two cases are far too many and deeply unacceptable," she said.

The strict enforcement of hijab rules in Iran continues to place significant pressure on women and girls and triggered months-long protests in 2022 following the death of a 22-year-old woman in police custody for allegedly wearing her hijab improperly.

Nevertheless, Iran’s parliament is set to unveil its Hijab and Chastity Law next month, which introduces new fines for violations of mandatory hijab regulations, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf announced on Wednesday.

Ghalibaf acknowledged the delay in finalizing the law was due to security concerns stemming from the 2022 protests.

French and British intelligence chiefs warn about Iran's nuclear threat

Nov 30, 2024, 07:58 GMT+0

British and French intelligence chiefs have warned of the threat posed by Iran potentially developing nuclear weapons. At the same time, European and Iranian diplomats met in Geneva on Friday for uneventful talks.

"Our services are working side by side to face what is undoubtedly one of the threats, if not to say the most critical threat, in the coming months - the possible atomic proliferation in Iran," Nicolas Lerner, who heads France’s DGSE, said at the British embassy in Paris alongside his British counterpart Richard Moore.

“The intelligence will be crucial to enable our authorities to make the right decisions and define the right strategies,” Lerner said in rare public comments.

The head of Britain's Secret Intelligence Service known as MI6, echoed those comments. "The regime's nuclear ambitions continue to threaten all of us, especially friends of France and the UK in the Gulf region," Moore said.

“Iran’s allied militias across the Middle East have suffered serious blows,” he added. “But the regime’s nuclear ambitions continue to threaten all of us.”

The comments by the intelligence chiefs and Iran’s meeting with the United Kingdom, France and Germany came after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors passed a resolution, proposed by the UK, France, and Germany, criticizing Tehran's lack of cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog.

The resolution emphasized the urgent need for Tehran to cooperate with the IAEA and called on IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi to prepare a comprehensive report on the status of Iran's nuclear program.

The censure resolution has set the stage for a new phase in the dispute over Iran's activities which could lead toward more sanctions through the activation of so-called "snapback mechanism".

The purpose of the Geneva meeting, the first such talks since Trump's election victory, was to assess the feasibility of engaging in serious negotiations before the official inauguration of the new US president on January 20, Reuters reported. The United States had previously announced it would not participate in the Geneva meeting.

Movie depicting IRGC ex-commander as hero stokes controversy in Canada

Nov 29, 2024, 23:03 GMT+0
•
Negar Mojtahedi

An Iranian movie depicting an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander with close ties to Iran’s Supreme Leader as a hero is set to screen at a Canadian film festival this weekend, stoking controversy in the Iranian-Canadian diaspora.

The film, called “Ahmad” is scheduled to play November 30 at the Muslim International Film Festival (MIFF) in Toronto.

The Canadian government listed the IRGC as a terrorist entity in July. The listing means police can charge anyone who financially or materially supports the IRGC and banks can freeze its assets.

“I think it's absolutely abhorrent,” Toronto Independent Member of Parliament (MP) Kevin Vuong told Iran International.

Vuong said he was looking into what avenues were available to address this issue including bringing this up in the House of Commons.

“For us to have worked so hard for the Iranian diaspora to have demanded for so many years to finally see the IRGC designated as a terrorist that they are. And now, for their permission of a video that glorifies a IRGC leader. It makes no sense,” he told Iran International over zoom.

The film festival website described the main movie character Ahmad Kazemi as a hero and a martyr who mobilized the IRGC Air Force (AF) to save lives after the devastating 2003 Bam earthquakes in southeastern Iran.

Kazemi was appointed as to the IRGC AF in 2003, and as Commander of the Ground Forces of the IRGC in 2005 by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, according to the Tehran Times. He was killed in a plane crash that year.

He also had close ties to Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani who was killed by a US airstrike at Baghdad airport in 2020.

“"How is it possible that IRGC is designated as a terrorist organization in Canada? But now a movie that's praising one of the is former generals will be on this screens in Canada. This is shocking for me,” Mehdi Moradi, a human rights advocate in Ontario told Iran International.

Moradi is one of dozens of activists in the community who helped push the Canadian government to list the IRGC as a terrorist entity.

Representatives for MIFF responded to Iran International's inquires saying they have received messages from the Iranian diaspora expressing concern and are currently evaluating their next steps.

The Canadian government, Public Safety Canada, and the Department of Justice did not immediately respond to Iran International's request for comment.

Iranian female athlete appears to seek asylum in Denmark

Nov 29, 2024, 22:00 GMT+0
•
Azadeh Akbari

A teenage table tennis player has eluded her team in Denmark and refused to return to Iran, a sport federation said and Iranian media reported, in another likely case of athletes seeking refuge abroad.

"Baran Arjmand, a 15-year-old member of Iran's youth national team who participated in the World Championships in Sweden, left the delegation after the competition concluded," the Iranian Table Tennis Federation said Friday.

"This young athlete, without notifying or coordinating with the federation, introduced herself to police in Copenhagen while the team was returning to Iran," the statement added, without describing her potential motivations.

Many Iranian athletes have sought refuge while abroad in international sporting competitions in recent years.

Forty percent of the 36 athletes selected for the 2024 Refugee Olympic Team hailed from Iran.

The considerable presence of Iranian refugees on the team followed a surge in the emigration of athletes, artists, and skilled workers from Iran, driven by increasing economic pressure and anti-government sentiment.

Despite having received her boarding pass for her flight home, Arjmand refused to return to Iran, a report by the Tasnim News agency affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said.

Arjmand asked for the Danish police's help to prevent her return to Iran, it added. Neither Arjmand nor her family has issued a statement regarding her decision.

Many Iranian athletes who remain abroad have cited political pressures, social restrictions, or personal reasons for their actions. In January 2023, Iranian alpine skier Atefeh Ahmadi applied for asylum in Germany after traveling to Europe for training.

In December 2021, Shaghayegh Bapiri, a member of the Iranian women’s handball team, refused to return to Iran after a tournament in Spain, citing the country’s mandatory hijab rules and other restrictions she faced.

Similarly, in 2019, judoka Saeid Mollaei sought asylum in Germany after alleging pressure from Iranian authorities to withdraw from competitions to avoid facing Israeli opponents.

After Hezbollah ceasefire, will Israel's contest with Iran move to Syria?

Nov 29, 2024, 19:33 GMT+0
•
Negar Mojtahedi

Syria could be the next theater in the evolving struggle between the Islamic Republic and the Jewish state, former Israeli intelligence official and advisor on Arab affairs Avi Melamed told the Eye for Iran podcast.

Syria may be an overlooked player in Israel's regional contest with Iran, especially after a US-brokered ceasefire paused its fight Hezbollah in neighboring Lebanon.

But with Hezbollah nursing deep wounds from a 14-month war, the Iran-backed group's ability to continue buttressing Syria's beleaguered government may be in doubt, possibly accelerating Damascus's alignment with moderate Arab states.

“The story of Syria is going to become enormously significant because it cannot be detached from the story of Lebanon,” said Melamed.

Israeli forces last week announced they had carried out a series of airstrikes in Syria targeting what it called a Syrian-backed smuggling route for Iranian weapons bound for Hezbollah.

Islamist forces from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) - designated a terrorist group by the United States - and allied rebel fighters launched a surprise offensive on Wednesday, capturing several towns and villages in northwest Aleppo province, a region controlled by Iran-backed President Bashar al-Assad.

The offensive has abruptly shaken up the conflict after years of relative military stalemate.

As a former Arab affairs advisor to the Israeli government and intelligence officer who specialized in the Arab world, Melamed has field experience and insight into regional trends.

“The Assad regime in Syria is a very significant component in this whole structure that the Mullah regime [Iran] has been building, known as the axis of resistance,” he added.

The Axis of Resistance is an Iran-led coalition in the Middle East, comprising of both Sunni and Shia Muslim groups and governments in Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza and Iraq. The network includes Hamas, Hezbollah, Assad’s government, the Houthis of Yemen and armed militia in Syria and Iraq.

What happens to the Axis of Resistance after the ceasefire?

Hezbollah operatives supported Assad during the years-long Syrian civil war that began in 2011 and continues today in sporadic pockets in Northern Syria.

Rebels in Northern Syria launched their unexpected offensive after the blows Iran’s proxies faced from Israel in recent months. Aleppo has been controlled by Bashar Al-Assad, the president of Syria who has been backed pro-Iranian militias and military advisors since 2016.

Turkey controls parts of Northern Syria and exercises a large measure of influence on Syrian rebel forces.

The anti-government rebels may seek to capitalize on the weaknesses of the Iranian axis, with a vacuum left by a weakened Hezbollah.

The rebels said the offensive was launched to deter the Syrian government and Iran-backed proxies. It also killed a senior commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Iranian state media reported that Brigadier General Kioumars Pourhashemi was killed in Aleppo during an overnight attack Thursday by Islamist forces opposed to the Syrian government.

The IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News said he was killed by “Takfiri terrorists,” a term widely used in Shiite-majority Iran to refer to jihadists or supporters of radical Sunni Islam.

Amid a backdrop in fighting and shifting alliances, Assad could seek to distance himself from Iran and the axis of resistance.

"I think that would be a very interesting and very significant to follow what will happen with the Assad regime and the way that it will maneuver down the road, giving to this reconfiguration of the landscape of the region," said Melamed.

Melamed said such a move could signify something much greater, one that is set to impact the stability of the axis, geopolitical alliances, and limit just how much Iran influences the region at large.

“One interesting thing is to see that for the last year, and particularly against the background of the Israeli-Hezbollah collision and the Israeli-Iran collision, Assad totally remained on the sidelines. He didn't say anything,” said Melamed.

In addition to staying quiet during Iran’s conflicts with Israel, Assad did not attend the funeral of Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi who died in a helicopter crash in May of this year.

Assad understands that there’s a shift in power, according to Melamed who referred to him as a shrewd, cynical politician.

“Assad is trying to see where exactly he could benefit the best in this re-configuration of this region,” he added.

The Syrian leader was reinstated in the Arab League in May 2023 after his nation was suspended for more than 10 years.

There is little chance of Saudi and Persian Gulf nations providing financial aid to Damascus amid its economic struggles due to Syria’s relationship with Iran in the axis of resistance, said Melamed.

Iran, Russia and Hezbollah were key supporters of Assad during the civil war, and injected billions of dollars to help save his leadership - money that Melamed said Syria cannot afford to pay Iran back.

Israeli strikes in Syria amid ceasefire

The Iran-backed axis developed what they describe as a unity of fronts strategy to engulf Israel, and Syria is a key component of that alliance. But that could soon change if Assad shifts allegiances.

Hezbollah provided a critical boost to Syrian forces against the original rebel uprising and still operates there, with the Israeli military saying the group’s elite unit 4400 transfers Iranian weapons to Lebanon under the oversight of Syria's Military Security.

Melamed said frequent Israeli air strikes on Iran-controlled forces and bases in Syria will not stop even after the recent ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon. Since 2017, Israel has conducted hundreds of air strikes to contain Iran's presence and shipment of arms to Hezbollah.

An IDF illustration of the alleged Iranian arms smuggling route
100%
An IDF illustration of the alleged Iranian arms smuggling route

The Israeli military announced in a press conference Wednesday that they would continue to prevent weapons delivers to Hezbollah both in Lebanon and Syria. Recent strikes, it said, served as a warning to Damascus that the Jewish state will stop the Iran-backed militia from rearming.

“We struck on Syrian soil all attempts to transfer weapons to Hezbollah. If we detect intentions to transfer weapons to the organization — we will act,” IDF Spokesman Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said in Wednesday’s press conference.

The US-brokered ceasefire stipulates that the Lebanese army will control and monitor the country’s border crossings to prevent unauthorized arms entries. It also has the power to confiscate weapons it finds in the area south of the Litani River near the de-facto border between the two nations.

“One of the articles (of the ceasefire) basically says that Israel has the right to continue and to intercept the shipments of armament to Lebanon,” said Melamed on the Eye for Iran podcast.

To watch the full Eye for Iran episode featuring Avi Melamed, the CEO of Inside the Middle East Intelligence Perspectives, on YouTube. Or listen on Spotify, Apple, Amazon, Castbox or any major podcast platform.